Sport Picks
Guayaquil City vs Libertad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil 
Match Events
18'
18'
Coronel D.
Assist: Rodriguez Perlaza J. G.
24'
24'
Branda V.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Sub
Sambonino K. In: Mancilla P.
Out: Sambonino K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Guayaquil City average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Libertad's 1.1.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Libertad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guayaquil City | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Libertad
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Oct 10, 2023 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
1:0
May 6, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Libertad
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guayaquil City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mero E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Libertad Compare
Top Goalscorer Coronel D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guayaquil City 41 / 100
Libertad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guayaquil City Libertad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guayaquil City scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Libertad let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Guayaquil City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guayaquil City VS Libertad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guayaquil City
(Home) 19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1 LDU Quito
15 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 2 Libertad
10 Aug
Guayaquil City
0 : 0 Emelec
Page 1 of 3
Libertad
(Away) 20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1 Emelec
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0 Libertad
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2 Libertad
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0 Libertad
15 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 2 Libertad
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2 Libertad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
