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Guayaquil City vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Mero E.
25'
Caicedo B.
31' Event
Mena A.
Assist: Vasquez S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Guayaquil City and Orense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Guayaquil City
15%
Draws
26%
Orense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Orense haven't matched Guayaquil City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guayaquil City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Orense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Orense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Guayaquil City
4:3
May 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
1:0
Apr 3, 2023 Liga Pro
Orense vs Guayaquil City
3:2
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 68 / 100
Orense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Orense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Guayaquil City scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Guayaquil City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Orense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
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Orense

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)