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Gubbio vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gubbio host Grosseto in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Grosseto have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Gubbio have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Gubbio have won 2 to Grosseto's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.00, favoring Grosseto. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Gubbio
30%
Draws
62%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Gubbio haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
  • Grosseto are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 10%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Grosseto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Grosseto
0:0
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Gubbio
1:1
May 9, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Gubbio
2:3
Jan 6, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Grosseto
1:1
Feb 2, 2014 Lega Pro C1/B
Grosseto vs Gubbio
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 18 / 100
Grosseto 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosseto let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gubbio scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Gubbio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Grosseto
0.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
27 Oct
Altamura
1 : 0
Gubbio
23 Oct
Pineto
1 : 0
Gubbio
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
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Grosseto

(Away)
31 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Grosseto
25 Oct
Grosseto
2 : 0
Reggiana
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)