Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gubbio vs Matelica

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Gubbio Logo

Gubbio

3 - 0
FT
Matelica Logo

Matelica

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Signorini A.
13'
Megelaitis L.
34' Event
Pellegrini J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gubbio in this Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gubbio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gubbio
20%
Draws
52%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matelica lately — more wins on the board than Gubbio.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Matelica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 23%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Matelica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Matelica
3:0
Dec 5, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Gubbio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrini J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez Taleb J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Matelica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 29 / 100
Matelica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Matelica conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Gubbio's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gubbio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0
Gubbio
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2
Gubbio
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Gubbio
03 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia 38 23 10 5 67:30 79
2 Padova 38 24 7 7 68:26 79
3 Sudtirol 38 21 12 5 66:29 75
4 Modena 38 21 7 10 51:28 70
5 FeralpiSalo 38 17 9 12 54:46 60
6 Triestina 38 15 14 9 48:40 59
7 Cesena 38 15 12 11 51:42 57
8 Matelica 38 16 8 14 59:62 56
9 Sambenedettese 38 14 12 12 43:43 50
10 Mantova 38 12 13 13 47:49 49
11 Virtus Verona 38 11 16 11 43:44 49
12 Gubbio 38 12 12 14 40:45 48
13 Fermana 38 9 15 14 31:44 42
14 Vis Pesaro 38 11 8 19 41:57 41
15 Carpi 38 10 11 17 45:62 41
16 Legnago Salus 38 8 14 16 35:47 38
17 Imolese 38 9 8 21 34:55 35
18 Fano 38 5 18 15 32:47 33
19 Ravenna 38 6 12 20 32:62 30
20 Arezzo 38 5 14 19 37:66 29
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)