Sport Picks
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio 
Match Events
7'
7'
Spina M.
17'
17'
Baroncelli L.
73'
73'
Ghirardello T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gubbio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gubbio come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
- 77% — that's where the model lands on Gubbio taking it.
- Gubbio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gubbio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gubbio | Vis Pesaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
5:0
Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gubbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Spina M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baroncelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Vis Pesaro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gubbio 95 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gubbio Vis Pesaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gubbio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Vis Pesaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Gubbio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gubbio VS Vis Pesaro
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gubbio
(Home) 12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2 Reggiana
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2 Reggiana
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Gubbio
2 : 0 Pineto
Page 1 of 3
Vis Pesaro
(Away) 12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
