Sport Picks
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio 
Match Events
7'
7'
Spina M.
17'
17'
Baroncelli L.
73'
73'
Ghirardello T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gubbio come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Gubbio taking it.
- Gubbio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gubbio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gubbio | Vis Pesaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
0:0
Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
5:0
Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gubbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Spina M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baroncelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Vis Pesaro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gubbio 50 / 100
Vis Pesaro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gubbio Vis Pesaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vis Pesaro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Vis Pesaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Gubbio scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Gubbio VS Vis Pesaro
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gubbio
(Home) 01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
27 Oct
Altamura
1 : 0 Gubbio
23 Oct
Pineto
1 : 0 Gubbio
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2 Atalanta U23
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2 Atalanta U23
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3 Perugia
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ostiamare
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
Page 1 of 3
Vis Pesaro
(Away) 01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
28 Oct
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
24 Oct
Vis Pesaro
0 : 4 Ravenna
18 Oct
Latina
1 : 0 Vis Pesaro
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0 Vis Pesaro
28 Oct
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
18 Oct
Latina
1 : 0 Vis Pesaro
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
