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Gucha Stars vs Luanda Villa

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Gucha Stars and Luanda Villa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gucha Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gucha Stars
22%
Draws
18%
Luanda Villa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gucha Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda Villa come out ahead of Gucha Stars on wins alone.
  • Gucha Stars are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gucha Stars Luanda Villa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs Luanda Villa
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Gucha Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gucha Stars 68 / 100
Luanda Villa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gucha Stars Luanda Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luanda Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Gucha Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Luanda Villa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gucha Stars VS Luanda Villa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gucha Stars

(Home)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

Luanda Villa

(Away)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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