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Gudja vs St. Andrews - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Challenge League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gudja host St. Andrews in the Challenge League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Gudja at 1.35 goals for, 1.42 against; St. Andrews at 1.31 for, 1.56 against. Head-to-head, Gudja have won 2 to St. Andrews's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.25) back Gudja to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gudja
20%
Draws
20%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gudja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • St. Andrews carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Gudja taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gudja Clean Sheet 19%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gudja St. Andrews
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Challenge League
Gudja vs St. Andrews
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Gudja
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Challenge League
Gudja vs St. Andrews
4:2
Apr 4, 2015 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Gudja
0:0
Dec 7, 2014 Challenge League
Gudja vs St. Andrews
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gudja 49 / 100
St. Andrews 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gudja St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gudja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gudja found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

St. Andrews's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: St. Andrews has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gudja VS St. Andrews
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gudja

(Home)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
12 Apr
Mgarr
0 : 2
Gudja
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Victoria Hotspurs 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Fgura 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4 Vittoriosa 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Swieqi 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
6 Sirens 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Melita 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 Naxxar Lions 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
9 Pieta 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 Mgarr 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Santa Lucia 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Attard 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
13 St. Andrews 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Zurrieq 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Gudja 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Zebbug 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)