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Guediawaye vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

0 - 0
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guediawaye
30%
Draws
39%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guediawaye lately — more wins on the board than Mbour.
  • Model gives Guediawaye a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 68%
Mbour Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guediawaye Mbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 18
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Guediawaye
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Mbour
0:0
Mar 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Mbour
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Guediawaye
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Mbour
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guediawaye 46 / 100
Mbour 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guediawaye Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guediawaye found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mbour let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Guediawaye went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guediawaye VS Mbour
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guediawaye

(Home)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)