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Guelson vs CD Lunda Sul

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2025/2026 game between Guelson and CD Lunda Sul finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Lunda Sul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Guelson
30%
Draws
42%
CD Lunda Sul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Lunda Sul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • CD Lunda Sul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Lunda Sul a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Guelson Clean Sheet 16%
CD Lunda Sul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson CD Lunda Sul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.8 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs CD Lunda Sul
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Girabola
CD Lunda Sul vs Guelson
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 11 / 100
CD Lunda Sul 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson CD Lunda Sul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Lunda Sul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Lunda Sul has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Guelson's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guelson stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS CD Lunda Sul
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
Page 1 of 6

CD Lunda Sul

(Away)
24 May
Wiliete
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
20 May
CD Lunda Sul
1 : 0
Bravos do Maquis
17 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
14 May
Academica
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
11 May
CD Lunda Sul
3 : 0
Desportivo Huila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)