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Guerreros de Autlan vs Halcones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guerreros de Autlan host Halcones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Guerreros de Autlan have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Halcones Negros's 2.86 scored and 0.86 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.88 - 2.25) back Halcones Negros to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guerreros de Autlan
15%
Draws
54%
Halcones Negros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halcones Negros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Halcones Negros haven't matched Guerreros de Autlan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Halcones Negros a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 10%
Halcones Negros Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guerreros de Autlan Halcones Negros
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.57 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guerreros de Autlan 10 / 100
Halcones Negros 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guerreros de Autlan Halcones Negros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones Negros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guerreros de Autlan scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Guerreros de Autlan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Halcones Negros let in goals in 43% of their last 7 matches.

Difficult form: Halcones Negros registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guerreros de Autlan VS Halcones Negros
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guerreros de Autlan

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Santiago
2 : 2
Guerreros de Autlan
27 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 0
Correcaminos 2
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
13 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 1
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
06 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 4
Vaqueros
Page 1 of 6

Halcones Negros

(Away)
10 Oct
Real Refineros
2 : 3
Halcones Negros
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
13 Sept
Halcones Negros
3 : 0
Guerreros del Pacifico
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaqueros 7 5 1 1 13:9 16
2 Mineros de Fresnillo 7 4 2 1 12:4 15
3 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 7 4 0 3 15:10 13
4 Zapotlanejo 7 4 1 2 12:10 13
5 FC Santiago 7 3 1 3 11:7 11
6 Correcaminos 2 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
8 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 7 3 0 4 10:17 8
9 Apodaca 7 1 1 5 7:13 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 7 6 1 0 17:5 20
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 7 4 1 2 20:6 14
4 Acambaro 7 4 1 2 21:10 13
5 Calor De San Pedro 6 3 1 2 14:13 12
6 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
7 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
8 Real Refineros 7 2 1 4 11:13 7
9 Ciervos 7 1 0 6 5:24 2
10 Canoneros FC 7 0 0 7 2:26 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)