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Guerreros de Autlan vs Leones Negros 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Guerreros de Autlan Logo

Guerreros de Autlan

4 - 5
FT
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Morales F.
6' Event
Velasco G.
11' Event
Navarro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leones Negros 2 in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guerreros de Autlan
15%
Draws
51%
Leones Negros 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Guerreros de Autlan haven't matched Leones Negros 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guerreros de Autlan a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 10%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guerreros de Autlan Leones Negros 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Guerreros de Autlan
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros de Autlan vs Leones Negros 2
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Velasco G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morales F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guerreros de Autlan 38 / 100
Leones Negros 2 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guerreros de Autlan Leones Negros 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guerreros de Autlan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Guerreros de Autlan found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Leones Negros 2 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Guerreros de Autlan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guerreros de Autlan VS Leones Negros 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guerreros de Autlan

(Home)
27 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 0
Correcaminos 2
20 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
13 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 1
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
06 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 4
Vaqueros
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros 2

(Away)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)