Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guerreros de Autlan play Reboceros de La Piedad in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guerreros de Autlan averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Reboceros de La Piedad averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Guerreros de Autlan won 1, Reboceros de La Piedad won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Guerreros de Autlan and 1.81 for Reboceros de La Piedad. This points to a Guerreros de Autlan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Guerreros de Autlan

15%

Draws

35%

Reboceros de La Piedad

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guerreros de Autlan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Guerreros de Autlan picked up more points recently compared to Reboceros de La Piedad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 11%

Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guerreros de Autlan	Reboceros de La Piedad
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	5	1
Losses	13	21
Goals Scored	1.46	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.69	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad vs Guerreros de Autlan

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan vs Reboceros de La Piedad

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Velasco I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Reboceros de La Piedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Rodriguez E. O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guerreros de Autlan 47 / 100

Reboceros de La Piedad 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guerreros de Autlan Reboceros de La Piedad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guerreros de Autlan or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guerreros de Autlan attacking → ← attacking Reboceros de La Piedad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guerreros de Autlan scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Reboceros de La Piedad let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Guerreros de Autlan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Reboceros de La Piedad lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 25

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17