Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gueugnon vs Beauvais

France France

National 2010/2011 Stade Jean Laville, Gueugnon
Fri, May 6, 2011
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gueugnon host Beauvais in the National 2010/2011. This has Beauvais written all over it on paper. Gueugnon have averaged 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Beauvais's 1.34 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Gueugnon have won 1 to Beauvais's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 6, 2011, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.18) back Beauvais to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gueugnon
20%
Draws
58%
Beauvais
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beauvais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gueugnon haven't matched Beauvais's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Beauvais a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 20%
Beauvais Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gueugnon Beauvais
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2011 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Beauvais
0:0
Jan 11, 2011 Ligue 3
Beauvais vs Gueugnon
3:1
Mar 23, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Beauvais
1:0
Aug 21, 2009 Ligue 3
Beauvais vs Gueugnon
2:1
Mar 14, 2009 Ligue 3
Beauvais vs Gueugnon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gueugnon 24 / 100
Beauvais 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gueugnon Beauvais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beauvais Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beauvais has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gueugnon found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Gueugnon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beauvais
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gueugnon

(Home)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

Beauvais

(Away)
16 May
Beauvais
5 : 1
Biesheim
09 May
Blois Foot 41
4 : 1
Beauvais
02 May
Beauvais
1 : 1
Haguenau
25 Apr
Wasquehal
0 : 2
Beauvais
18 Apr
Beauvais
0 : 0
Chambly
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)