Sport Picks
Guidonia 1937 vs Carpi
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Citta dell Aria, Guidonia Montecelio 
Match Events
28'
28'
Figoli M.
32'
32'
Spavone A.
34'
34'
Lombardi L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Guidonia 1937 and Carpi finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carpi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Carpi carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 68%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guidonia 1937 | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Carpi
2:3
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Guidonia 1937
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guidonia 1937 Compare
Top Goalscorer Spavone A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Figoli M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zagnoni D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guidonia 1937 41 / 100
Carpi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guidonia 1937 Carpi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guidonia 1937 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Guidonia 1937 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Guidonia 1937 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guidonia 1937 VS Carpi
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Guidonia 1937
(Home) 12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
14 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 0 Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3 Carpi
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
Carpi
(Away) 06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Carpi
3 : 3 Juventus U23
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2 Pianese
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1 Carpi
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
