Sport Picks
Guidonia 1937 vs Gubbio
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Citta dell Aria, Guidonia Montecelio 
Match Events
26'
26'
Hraiech S.
57'
57'
Sub
Tascone S. In: Sannipoli D.
Out: Tascone S.
57'
57'
Sub
Spavone A. In: Starita E.
Out: Spavone A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Guidonia 1937 and Gubbio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gubbio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gubbio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Gubbio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Gubbio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Guidonia 1937 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 16%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guidonia 1937 | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Gubbio
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Gubbio
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Guidonia 1937
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guidonia 1937 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Gubbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghirardello T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guidonia 1937 15 / 100
Gubbio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guidonia 1937 Gubbio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gubbio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guidonia 1937 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Gubbio conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Guidonia 1937 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guidonia 1937 VS Gubbio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guidonia 1937
(Home) 16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1 Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3 Carpi
04 Apr
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 3
Gubbio
(Away) 16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1 Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2 Reggiana
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1 Gubbio
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
