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Guilsfield vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guilsfield host Denbigh in the Cymru North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Guilsfield have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Denbigh's 1.76 scored and 2.12 conceded. Past meetings favor Guilsfield slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.69) point toward Guilsfield. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Guilsfield
15%
Draws
20%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Guilsfield have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Denbigh are scoring more at 1.76.
  • Model gives Guilsfield a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 13%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guilsfield Denbigh
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Guilsfield
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Guilsfield
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
4:3
Mar 23, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Denbigh
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guilsfield 84 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guilsfield Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh has conceded goals in 94% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Guilsfield scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Guilsfield has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guilsfield VS Denbigh
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guilsfield

(Home)
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

Denbigh

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
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