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Guilsfield vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Berry T.
69' Event
Knott R.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Guilsfield and Gresford finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guilsfield
30%
Draws
12%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Guilsfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Guilsfield taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guilsfield Gresford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Guilsfield
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Gresford
4:1
Sep 13, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Guilsfield
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Knott R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Berry T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guilsfield 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guilsfield Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Guilsfield's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guilsfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guilsfield VS Gresford
2.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guilsfield

(Home)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)