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Stadium Background

Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tilsley D.
56' Event
Knott A.
63' Event
Knott A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Guilsfield and Penrhyncoch finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guilsfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guilsfield
20%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guilsfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Guilsfield are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Guilsfield are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 20%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guilsfield Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch
4:0
Dec 27, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield
2:3
Dec 28, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch
4:2
Dec 14, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Knott A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tilsley D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Penrhyncoch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guilsfield 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guilsfield Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Penrhyncoch registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guilsfield scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Penrhyncoch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guilsfield VS Penrhyncoch
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guilsfield

(Home)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
9 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
10 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
11 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
14 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)