Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Balde D.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Bangoura M.
78'
78'
Bangoura N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guinea Bissau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guinea come out ahead of Guinea Bissau on wins alone.
- Model gives Guinea Bissau a 36% chance of winning this.
- Guinea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guinea, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 19%
Guinea Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guinea Bissau | Guinea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 25 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Guinea
1:2
Dec 20, 2024 African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
4:1
Oct 13, 2023 Friendly International
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
1:0
Nov 12, 2021 World Championship
Guinea vs Guinea Bissau
0:0
Sep 1, 2021 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Guinea
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guinea Bissau Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Guinea Compare
Top Goalscorer Bangoura M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bangoura N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guinea Bissau 36 / 100
Guinea 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guinea Bissau Guinea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guinea Bissau scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Guinea has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Guinea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guinea Bissau VS Guinea
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guinea Bissau
(Home) 25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2 Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1 Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0 Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Guinea Bissau
2 : 0 Djibouti
04 Sept
Guinea Bissau
1 : 1 Sierra Leone
09 Jun
Guinea Bissau
0 : 2 Gabon
06 Jun
Guinea Bissau
0 : 1 Burundi
24 Mar
Guinea Bissau
1 : 2 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 3
Guinea
(Away) 26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1 Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1 Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2 Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1 Niger
Page 1 of 5
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1 Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Guinea
09 Oct
Mozambique
1 : 2 Guinea
05 Sept
Somalia
0 : 3 Guinea
11 Aug
South Africa
2 : 1 Guinea
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
