Sport Picks

Guinea Bissau vs Mozambique Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Estádio 24 de Setembro, Bissau

Guinea Bissau

1 - 2

Mozambique

Our Tip

Match Events

Langa B.

14'

Rofino V. G.

37'

David Matola I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mozambique in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Guinea Bissau

20%

Draws

29%

Mozambique

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea Bissau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Mozambique lately — more wins on the board than Guinea Bissau.
Model gives Guinea Bissau a 51% chance of winning this.
Mozambique arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mozambique, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 68%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea Bissau	Mozambique
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	0.86	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Mozambique

1:2

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Guinea Bissau

2:1

Mar 23, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Mozambique

2:2

Sep 8, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Guinea Bissau

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Beto

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Langa B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ratifo S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.05

Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 68 / 100

Mozambique 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea Bissau Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea Bissau Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mozambique conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Guinea Bissau's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Guinea Bissau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Mozambique

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.17 Goals Conceded 1.75

67% Over 1.5 63%

33% Over 2.5 63%

17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea Bissau

(Home)

29 Sept

Guinea Bissau

3 : 0

Nigeria

25 Sept

Tanzania

0 : 2

Guinea Bissau

31 Mar

Burkina Faso

1 : 1

Guinea Bissau

28 Mar

Burkina Faso

5 : 0

Guinea Bissau

12 Oct

Egypt

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

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Mozambique

(Away)

29 Sept

Mozambique

4 : 1

Sudan

25 Sept

Mozambique

1 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

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