Sport Picks

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Estádio 24 de Setembro, Bissau

Guinea Bissau

3 - 0

Nigeria

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Gluda Dju F.

Assist: Nhaga R.

46'

Sub

Onyeka F. In: Usor M.

Out: Onyeka F.

46'

Sub

Awoniyi T. In: Simon M.

Out: Awoniyi T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Guinea Bissau

20%

Draws

40%

Nigeria

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Nigeria lately — more wins on the board than Guinea Bissau.
Win probability leans Guinea Bissau's way, sitting at 36%.
Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 68%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea Bissau	Nigeria
Matches Played	29	40
Wins	6	23
Draws	6	7
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	0.86	1.68
Goals Conceded	1.55	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

3:0

Jan 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:1

Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:1

Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Guinea Bissau

0:1

Jan 19, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Gluda Dju F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Balde M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Nigeria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 46 / 100

Nigeria 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea Bissau Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guinea Bissau scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Nigeria let in goals in 60% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guinea Bissau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Nigeria

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea Bissau

(Home)

29 Sept

Guinea Bissau

3 : 0

Nigeria

25 Sept

Tanzania

0 : 2

Guinea Bissau

31 Mar

Burkina Faso

1 : 1

Guinea Bissau

28 Mar

Burkina Faso

5 : 0

Guinea Bissau

12 Oct

Egypt

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

Page 1 of 6

Nigeria

(Away)

29 Sept

Guinea Bissau

3 : 0

Nigeria

25 Sept

Nigeria

2 : 1

Madagascar

10 Jun

Portugal

2 : 1

Nigeria

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

30 May

Jamaica

0 : 3

Nigeria

Page 1 of 8