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Guinea U20 vs Gambia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Guinea U20 Logo

Guinea U20

2 - 1
FT
Gambia U20 Logo

Gambia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
87' Event
(Penalty)
90' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Guinea U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guinea U20
20%
Draws
23%
Gambia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gambia U20 come out ahead of Guinea U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guinea U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Gambia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea U20 Gambia U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 Friendly International
Gambia U20 vs Guinea U20
0:0
Jul 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Guinea U20 vs Gambia U20
2:1
Jul 9, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Guinea U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea U20 75 / 100
Gambia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea U20 Gambia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Guinea U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Gambia U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guinea U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Gambia U20 let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea U20 VS Gambia U20
2.67 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Liberia U20
3 : 4
Guinea U20
03 Sept
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Guinea U20
01 Sept
Guinea U20
4 : 0
Cape Verde U20
28 Aug
Senegal U20
3 : 1
Guinea U20
19 May
Guinea U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U20

(Away)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
Niger U20 1
Tunisia U20 4
Ethiopia U20 4
Somalia U20 1
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 1
Guinea U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Botswana U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Mauritania U20 3
Algeria U20 2
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Sudan U20 1
Kenya U20 1
TBD -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
TBD -
Mauritius U20 2
Mozambique U20 2
Namibia U20 4
Eswatini U20 2
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
Uganda U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Gabon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 -
Angola U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Ethiopia U20 2
Ghana U20 5
Gambia U20 2
Morocco U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Zimbabwe U20 0
Benin U20 -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 3
Congo U20 3
Mauritania U20 1
Mali U20 7
Sudan U20 -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 1
Nigeria U20 3
Lesotho U20 2
Mozambique U20 1
Namibia U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Egypt U20 2
Rwanda U20 1
Gabon U20 1
Angola U20 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Gambia U20 1
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Libya U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 0
Mali U20 2
Sudan U20 5
Nigeria U20 5
Lesotho U20 0
South Africa U20 5
Egypt U20 5
Angola U20 0
TBD -
TBD -