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Guinea U20 vs Mali U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Koita S.
49' Event
Sylla M.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Diakite M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Guinea U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Guinea U20
15%
Draws
40%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali U20 lately — more wins on the board than Guinea U20.
  • Model gives Guinea U20 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Mali U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea U20 Mali U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Guinea U20 vs Mali U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea U20 68 / 100
Mali U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea U20 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Guinea U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Guinea U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guinea U20 VS Mali U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Liberia U20
3 : 4
Guinea U20
03 Sept
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Guinea U20
01 Sept
Guinea U20
4 : 0
Cape Verde U20
28 Aug
Senegal U20
3 : 1
Guinea U20
19 May
Guinea U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Guinea U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Egypt U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Mali U20 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Cameroon U20 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Sudan U20 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 (Play Offs)