Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guinea vs Algeria

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nelson Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Guinea Logo

Guinea

1 - 1
FT
Algeria Logo

Algeria

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Diabate M. In: Camara M. B.
Out: Diabate M.
55'
Sub
Youla M. In: Barry Y.
Out: Youla M.
56'
Sub
Sankhon I. In: Sylla L.
Out: Sankhon I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The African Nations Championship game between Guinea and Algeria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guinea
30%
Draws
41%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Algeria come out ahead of Guinea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guinea a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guinea Clean Sheet 13%
Algeria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Algeria
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Guinea vs Algeria
0:0
Aug 15, 2025 African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Algeria
1:1
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Algeria vs Guinea
1:2
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs Guinea
1:0
Jul 7, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Guinea
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayazid S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 35 / 100
Algeria 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Algeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Guinea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Algeria let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Algeria
0.67 Goals Scored 2
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 6

Algeria

(Away)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)