Sport Picks

Guinea vs Gambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Charles Konan Banny Stadium, Yamoussoukro

Guinea

1 - 0

Gambia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Barrow M.

19'

Diakite I.

62'

Sub

Darboe E. In: Barry H.

Out: Darboe E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guinea in this Africa Cup of Nations 2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Guinea

20%

Draws

51%

Gambia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gambia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Gambia average 1.68 goals a game right now, well clear of Guinea's 1.07.
Guinea are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Gambia, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Guinea Clean Sheet 11%

Gambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea	Gambia
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.07	1.68
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea vs Gambia

1:0

Jan 24, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea vs Gambia

0:1

Oct 13, 2020 Friendly International

Gambia vs Guinea

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Gambia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 35 / 100

Gambia 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea Gambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Gambia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Guinea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Gambia

1.13 Goals Scored 2.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)

01 Oct

Guinea

1 : 0

Kenya

26 Sept

South Africa

2 : 1

Guinea

04 Jun

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Guinea

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

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Gambia

(Away)

29 Sept

Ghana

2 : 4

Gambia

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

29 May

Iran

3 : 1

Gambia

31 Mar

Senegal

3 : 1

Gambia

18 Nov

Kuwait

2 : 2

Gambia

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