Sport Picks

Guinea vs Kenya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade 28 Septembre, Conakry

Guinea

1 - 0

Kenya

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Bajaber M.

32'

Guirassy S.

46'

Sub

Obiero M. In: Ouma T.

Out: Obiero M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Guinea

35%

Draws

39%

Kenya

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kenya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Guinea have won more games recently than Kenya.
Win probability leans Kenya's way, sitting at 40%.
Guinea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Guinea, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Guinea Clean Sheet 27%

Kenya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea	Kenya
Matches Played	26	23
Wins	9	8
Draws	8	6
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.08	1.22
Goals Conceded	1.04	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea vs Kenya

1:0

Oct 12, 2008 World Championship

Guinea vs Kenya

3:2

Jun 7, 2008 World Championship

Kenya vs Guinea

2:0

Jun 5, 2005 World Championship

Guinea vs Kenya

1:0

Nov 17, 2004 World Championship

Kenya vs Guinea

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Kenya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 30 / 100

Kenya 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea Kenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Kenya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Guinea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Kenya

0.88 Goals Scored 0.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)

01 Oct

Guinea

1 : 0

Kenya

26 Sept

South Africa

2 : 1

Guinea

04 Jun

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Guinea

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

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Kenya

(Away)

05 Oct

Rwanda

0 : 0

Kenya

01 Oct

Guinea

1 : 0

Kenya

26 Sept

Kenya

1 : 1

Eritrea

07 Jun

Kenya

4 : 0

Lesotho

04 Jun

Lesotho

1 : 1

Kenya

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