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Guinea vs Niger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Balde A.
84' Event
Sako O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guinea
20%
Draws
40%
Niger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guinea lately — more wins on the board than Niger.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Guinea Clean Sheet 68%
Niger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Niger
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.08 1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Niger vs Guinea
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
2:1
Jan 22, 2016 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Niger Compare

Top Goalscorer Sako O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 41 / 100
Niger 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Niger conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Niger's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Niger
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
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Niger

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
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