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Guinea W vs Cape Verde W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Guinea W
20%
Draws
32%
Cape Verde W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cape Verde W haven't matched Guinea W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guinea W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%
Cape Verde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea W Cape Verde W
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cape Verde W vs Guinea W
4:1
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Cape Verde W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea W 74 / 100
Cape Verde W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea W Cape Verde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cape Verde W conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Guinea W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Away concern: Cape Verde W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea W VS Cape Verde W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea W

(Home)
10 Oct
Cameroon W
:
Guinea W
07 Oct
Guinea W
:
Cameroon W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
Page 1 of 6

Cape Verde W

(Away)
06 Aug
Cape Verde W
1 : 1
Cameroon W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
21 Jul
Morocco W
5 : 0
Cape Verde W
08 Jun
Ivory Coast W
0 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -