Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guinea W vs Sierra Leone W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2010 Stade 28 Septembre, Conakry
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guinea W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2010 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Guinea W
15%
Draws
65%
Sierra Leone W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Guinea W have won more games recently than Sierra Leone W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea W Sierra Leone W
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sierra Leone W vs Guinea W
3:1
Mar 20, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Guinea W
1:1
Mar 7, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Sierra Leone W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea W 30 / 100
Sierra Leone W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea W Sierra Leone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone W let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Guinea W scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Guinea W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea W VS Sierra Leone W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.14
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea W

(Home)
10 Oct
Cameroon W
:
Guinea W
07 Oct
Guinea W
:
Cameroon W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
Page 1 of 6

Sierra Leone W

(Away)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 3
Angola W 2
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
D.R. Congo W 7
Botswana W 2
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Senegal W 1
Morocco W 0
TBD -
Ghana W -
Ivory Coast W 5
Gabon W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 4
Sierra Leone W 3
TBD -
Mali W -
Tanzania W 4
Ethiopia W 2
TBD -
Eritrea W -
Final
Algeria W 2
Tunisia W 1
Namibia W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 5
D.R. Congo W 0
Cameroon W 5
Senegal W 0
Ghana W 4
Ivory Coast W 2
Nigeria W 5
Guinea W 2
Mali W 3
Tanzania W 11
Eritrea W 4