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Guingamp vs Amiens SC

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kielt S.
Assist: Mafouta L.
29'
Lo A.
45'
Sidibe K.

AI Match Summary

Guingamp in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Guingamp
28%
Draws
50%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guingamp lately — more wins on the board than Amiens SC.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Amiens SC taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 17%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Amiens SC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Amiens SC
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Guingamp
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Guingamp
3:2
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Amiens SC
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Amiens SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Kielt S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Amiens SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 23 / 100
Amiens SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amiens SC conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Guingamp scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Amiens SC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Amiens SC
0.43 Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Goals Conceded 2.5
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
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Amiens SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Amiens SC
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
22 Jul
Amiens SC
1 : 1
Reims
18 Jul
Amiens SC
2 : 1
Quevilly
17 Jul
Le Havre
1 : 2
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)