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Guingamp vs Avranches

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ghrieb R.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Siwe J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Guingamp and Avranches finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
32%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guingamp here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 13%
Avranches Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Avranches
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Avranches vs Guingamp
0:2
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 11, 2015 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Siwe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 31 / 100
Avranches 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Guingamp scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guingamp stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Avranches
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1
Guingamp
01 Aug
Brest
3 : 3
Guingamp
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
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Avranches

(Away)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
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