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Guingamp vs Avranches

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ghrieb R.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Siwe J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Guingamp and Avranches finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guingamp
44%
Draws
20%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guingamp here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 16%
Avranches Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Avranches
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Avranches vs Guingamp
0:2
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 11, 2015 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Siwe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 36 / 100
Avranches 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Avranches

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Guingamp scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guingamp stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Avranches
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%