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Guingamp vs Avranches - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ghrieb R.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Siwe J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Guingamp and Avranches finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
32%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Avranches are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guingamp here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 16%
Avranches Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Avranches
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Avranches vs Guingamp
0:2
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0
Jul 11, 2015 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Avranches
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Siwe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 28 / 100
Avranches 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Guingamp scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guingamp stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Avranches
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
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Avranches

(Away)
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
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