Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou

Guingamp

3 - 0

Boulogne

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Mafouta L.

Assist: Sidibe K.

25'

Demoncy Y.

Assist: Mafouta L.

49'

Bultel J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Guingamp and Boulogne finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Guingamp

39%

Draws

30%

Boulogne

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Guingamp carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Guingamp Clean Sheet 24%

Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guingamp	Boulogne
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	8	7
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2

Guingamp vs Boulogne

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Feb 9, 2010 Coupe de France

Boulogne vs Guingamp

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafouta L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Demoncy Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 33 / 100

Boulogne 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guingamp Boulogne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Boulogne let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Boulogne has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Boulogne

0.5 Goals Scored 0.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0