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Guingamp vs Boulogne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mafouta L.
Assist: Sidibe K.
25' Event
Demoncy Y.
Assist: Mafouta L.
49'
Bultel J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Guingamp and Boulogne finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
18%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guingamp carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guingamp a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Boulogne
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:2
Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:1
Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafouta L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demoncy Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 86 / 100
Boulogne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Guingamp remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Boulogne conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Boulogne
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
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Boulogne

(Away)
02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1
Boulogne
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)