Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guingamp vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mafouta L.
Assist: Sidibe K.
25' Event
Demoncy Y.
Assist: Mafouta L.
49'
Bultel J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Guingamp and Boulogne finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Guingamp
28%
Draws
50%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boulogne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Boulogne's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what Guingamp have produced (0.5).
  • Model gives Boulogne a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Boulogne
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:2
Feb 17, 2012 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Boulogne
1:1
Sep 20, 2011 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Guingamp
2:0
Feb 9, 2010 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Guingamp
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafouta L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demoncy Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Boulogne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 24 / 100
Boulogne 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Boulogne let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Boulogne has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Boulogne
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)