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Guingamp vs Concarneau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Guingamp and Concarneau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
38%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Guingamp haven't matched Concarneau's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 15%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Concarneau
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Concarneau
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Concarneau
2:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Guingamp
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Concarneau vs Guingamp
2:3
Dec 16, 2023 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Concarneau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 31 / 100
Concarneau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Concarneau conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Guingamp remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Concarneau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
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Concarneau

(Away)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
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