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Guingamp vs Concarneau

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Guingamp and Concarneau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Guingamp
17%
Draws
70%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guingamp have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Concarneau are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives Concarneau a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 18%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Concarneau
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Concarneau
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Concarneau
2:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Guingamp
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Concarneau vs Guingamp
2:3
Dec 16, 2023 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Concarneau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 15 / 100
Concarneau 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Concarneau conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Concarneau has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Concarneau
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
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Concarneau

(Away)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
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