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Guingamp vs St Etienne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Ferreira J.
37' Event
Kielt S.
Assist: Ben Brahim S.
46'
Sub
Csongvai A. In: Jaber M.
Out: Csongvai A.

AI Match Summary

Guingamp in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guingamp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guingamp
15%
Draws
49%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Guingamp.
  • Model gives Guingamp a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp St Etienne
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs St Etienne
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs St Etienne
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Guingamp
2:3
May 4, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs St Etienne
2:2
Dec 5, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Guingamp
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Kielt S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Averlant T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

St Etienne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 34 / 100
St Etienne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Guingamp's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Guingamp remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

St Etienne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS St Etienne
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
23 Oct
Clermont
0 : 2
Guingamp
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne

(Away)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)