Sport Picks

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Guingamp W vs Auxerre W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Stefut L.
48' Event
Boutaleb I.
68' Event
Stefut L.

AI Match Summary

Auxerre W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auxerre W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Auxerre W have won more games recently than Guingamp W.
  • Auxerre W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 11%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Auxerre W
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Guingamp W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Avenant I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Auxerre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefut L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boutaleb I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 10 / 100
Auxerre W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guingamp W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Auxerre W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Auxerre W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Auxerre W
0.67 Goals Scored 1
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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Auxerre W

(Away)
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
28 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
15 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 3
St Etienne W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)