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Guingamp W vs Le Mans W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Hoarau F.
90'
Martin L.

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Le Mans W lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp W.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Guingamp W
3:0
Feb 1, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Le Mans W
0:1
Jan 23, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Oct 10, 2010 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Le Mans W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoarau F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 10 / 100
Le Mans W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Le Mans W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Le Mans W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Le Mans W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)