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Guingamp W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Even Saliou E.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Guingamp W and Lille W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guingamp W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
30%
Draws
70%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lille W come out ahead of Guingamp W on wins alone.
  • Lille W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 11%
Lille W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Lille W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Lille W
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
4:1
Mar 2, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Lille W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Even Saliou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lille W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 10 / 100
Lille W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Guingamp W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lille W let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Lille W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Lille W
0.57 Goals Scored 1
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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Lille W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)