Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guiseley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guiseley lately — more wins on the board than Lancaster.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Guiseley taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guiseley | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Guiseley
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
1:2
Oct 15, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Guiseley
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Lancaster
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guiseley 59 / 100
Lancaster 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guiseley Lancaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guiseley scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Lancaster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Guiseley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guiseley VS Lancaster
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guiseley
(Home) 08 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Warrington Town
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1 Barnsley
28 Jul
Pontefract Collieries
1 : 3 Guiseley
24 Jul
Guiseley
3 : 2 Blackburn U21
21 Jul
Garforth
0 : 1 Guiseley
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Warrington Town
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1 Barnsley
24 Jul
Guiseley
3 : 2 Blackburn U21
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
11 Jul
Guiseley
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 4
Lancaster
(Away) 08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2 Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1 Lancaster
11 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1 Lancaster
06 Apr
Bamber Bridge
1 : 1 Lancaster
28 Mar
Hebburn Town
4 : 1 Lancaster
14 Mar
Whitby
1 : 3 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
