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Guiseley vs Whitby

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Owen E.

AI Match Summary

Guiseley in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Guiseley
15%
Draws
32%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Guiseley have won more games recently than Whitby.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Guiseley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guiseley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guiseley Whitby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
3:1
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Whitby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guiseley 95 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guiseley Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guiseley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guiseley's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Whitby has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Guiseley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guiseley VS Whitby
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guiseley

(Home)
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Guiseley
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Whitby

(Away)
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Quorn
3 : 6
Whitby
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)