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Guiseley vs Whitby

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Owen E.

AI Match Summary

Guiseley in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guiseley
6%
Draws
4%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guiseley have won more games recently than Whitby.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guiseley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guiseley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guiseley Whitby
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Whitby
3:1
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:2
Mar 19, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Guiseley
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Whitby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guiseley 95 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guiseley Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guiseley's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Whitby has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Guiseley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guiseley VS Whitby
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guiseley

(Home)
21 Jul
Garforth
0 : 1
Guiseley
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
14 Jul
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2
Guiseley
11 Jul
Guiseley
1 : 2
Harrogate
18 Apr
Ashton United
1 : 1
Guiseley
Page 1 of 7

Whitby

(Away)
10 Jul
Bridlington Town
2 : 2
Whitby
25 Apr
Whitby
0 : 0
Cleethorpes
18 Apr
Leek Town
3 : 2
Whitby
11 Apr
Whitby
1 : 1
Hyde
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)