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Gulbene vs FK Karosta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Latvian Cup 2017
Gulbene Logo

Gulbene

1 - 5
FT
FK Karosta Logo

FK Karosta

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with FK Karosta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gulbene
25%
Draws
35%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FK Karosta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gulbene FK Karosta
Matches Played 2 20
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 2 2.85
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2017 Latvian Cup
Gulbene vs FK Karosta
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gulbene 29 / 100
FK Karosta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gulbene FK Karosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulbene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gulbene's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Karosta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

FK Karosta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gulbene VS FK Karosta
2 Goals Scored 3.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gulbene

(Home)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene

FK Karosta

(Away)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
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Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
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Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
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Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Caramba -
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Nica FC -
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Grobina -
Valmiera -
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Priekuli -
Ogre -
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RTU -
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FK Metta -
Ventspils -
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JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
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Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
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TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
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SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
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Super Nova -
Nikers -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
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FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2