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Gulbene vs Salaspils FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2014 game between Gulbene and Salaspils FK finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gulbene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gulbene
15%
Draws
40%
Salaspils FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gulbene haven't matched Salaspils FK's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 20%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gulbene Salaspils FK
Matches Played 3 33
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 18
Goals Scored 4 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2014 1. Liga
Gulbene vs Salaspils FK
4:0
May 31, 2014 1. Liga
Salaspils FK vs Gulbene
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gulbene 36 / 100
Salaspils FK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gulbene Salaspils FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salaspils FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gulbene scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Salaspils FK conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gulbene stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Salaspils FK
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gulbene

(Home)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene
12 Oct
Gulbene
8 : 0
Plavinas

Salaspils FK

(Away)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gulbene 30 27 3 0 128:11 84
2 Rezekne 30 25 2 3 118:27 77
3 Valmiera 30 22 2 6 105:34 68
4 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 21 4 5 87:34 67
5 RFS 30 18 4 8 104:39 58
6 FK Auda Riga 30 18 1 11 68:42 55
7 Tukums 2000 30 15 5 10 88:53 50
8 Ogre 30 11 4 15 60:50 37
9 Jekabpils SC 30 10 7 13 50:71 37
10 Preilu BJSS 30 10 1 19 60:92 31
11 AFA Olaine 30 8 6 16 51:81 30
12 SFK United 30 7 8 15 38:56 29
13 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 30 8 1 21 37:86 25
14 FK Smiltene 30 5 9 16 37:77 24
15 Salaspils FK 30 2 7 21 24:84 13
16 Plavinas 30 0 2 28 10:228 2
Promotion - Virslīga 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)