Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gulbene vs SFK United

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gulbene in this 1. Liga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gulbene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gulbene
15%
Draws
0%
SFK United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SFK United lately — more wins on the board than Gulbene.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gulbene here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 20%
SFK United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gulbene SFK United
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2014 1. Liga
Gulbene vs SFK United
5:1
Apr 20, 2014 1. Liga
SFK United vs Gulbene
0:1
Oct 26, 2013 1. Liga
Gulbene vs SFK United
8:3
Jul 2, 2013 1. Liga
SFK United vs Gulbene
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gulbene 31 / 100
SFK United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gulbene SFK United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulbene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gulbene scored in 100% of their last 4 games.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: SFK United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

SFK United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gulbene VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gulbene

(Home)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene
16 Aug
Gulbene
5 : 1
SFK United
20 Apr
SFK United
0 : 1
Gulbene

SFK United

(Away)
08 Nov
SFK United
1 : 2
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
Jekabpils SC
1 : 0
SFK United
25 Oct
SFK United
1 : 2
Preilu BJSS
18 Oct
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
3 : 2
SFK United
11 Oct
SFK United
0 : 5
Tukums 2000
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gulbene 30 27 3 0 128:11 84
2 Rezekne 30 25 2 3 118:27 77
3 Valmiera 30 22 2 6 105:34 68
4 FK 1625 Liepaja 30 21 4 5 87:34 67
5 RFS 30 18 4 8 104:39 58
6 FK Auda Riga 30 18 1 11 68:42 55
7 Tukums 2000 30 15 5 10 88:53 50
8 Ogre 30 11 4 15 60:50 37
9 Jekabpils SC 30 10 7 13 50:71 37
10 Preilu BJSS 30 10 1 19 60:92 31
11 AFA Olaine 30 8 6 16 51:81 30
12 SFK United 30 7 8 15 38:56 29
13 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 30 8 1 21 37:86 25
14 FK Smiltene 30 5 9 16 37:77 24
15 Salaspils FK 30 2 7 21 24:84 13
16 Plavinas 30 0 2 28 10:228 2
Promotion - Virslīga 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)