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Gumushanespor vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Gumushanespor Logo

Gumushanespor

1 - 1
FT
Aliaga Logo

Aliaga

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Polat E. C.
57' Event
Biyik B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gumushanespor
15%
Draws
76%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Gumushanespor haven't matched Aliaga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aliaga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gumushanespor Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gumushanespor Aliaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Gumushanespor vs Aliaga
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Aliaga vs Gumushanespor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gumushanespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat E. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Aliaga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gumushanespor 26 / 100
Aliaga 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gumushanespor Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gumushanespor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Aliaga let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Gumushanespor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aliaga
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gumushanespor

(Home)
27 Apr
Gumushanespor
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
21 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Gumushanespor
14 Apr
Gumushanespor
1 : 1
Aliaga
03 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 3
Gumushanespor
24 Mar
Gumushanespor
2 : 3
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)