Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Chiatura

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Guria Logo

Guria

1 - 2
FT
Chiatura Logo

Chiatura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Guria and Chiatura finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiatura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Chiatura
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiatura haven't matched Guria's recent run of results.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Chiatura
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 3 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2021 Liga 3
Guria vs Chiatura
2:1
Jul 4, 2021 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Guria
1:2
Sep 9, 2018 Liga 3
Guria vs Chiatura
1:2
Apr 12, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Guria
0:0
May 21, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Chiatura
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Chiatura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Chiatura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiatura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Guria found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Guria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
Page 1 of 7

Chiatura

(Away)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)