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Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guria
44%
Draws
20%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 have won more games recently than Guria.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guria Clean Sheet 14%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 16 28
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 3.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:2
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:1
Aug 17, 2023 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 35 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Guria's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 let in goals in 49% of their last 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS FC Tbilisi 2025
3.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
20 May
Guria
6 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
26 Jun
Aragvelebi
0 : 4
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Didube
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)