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Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Guria
30%
Draws
20%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Guria have won more games recently than FC Tbilisi 2025.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guria Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 3 9
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.67 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:2
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:1
Aug 17, 2023 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Guria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 84 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Tbilisi 2025's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS FC Tbilisi 2025
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)