Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Gonio

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kapanadze T.
28'
Aladashvili A.
28'
Aladashvili A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Guria and Gonio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Guria
20%
Draws
9%
Gonio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Gonio on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Gonio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Gonio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.6 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Gonio
2:0
Apr 8, 2026 Liga 3
Gonio vs Guria
0:2
Sep 26, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Guria
3:0
Apr 4, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Gonio
1:3
Jul 6, 2022 Georgian Cup
Gonio vs Guria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapanadze T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Gonio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Gonio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Gonio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guria's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Gonio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Gonio
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

Gonio

(Away)
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
13 Aug
Gonio
1 : 1
Iveria Khashuri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tbilisi 2025 21 14 7 0 54:13 49
2 Guria 21 15 3 3 61:11 48
3 Iberia 1999 2 21 10 8 3 31:16 38
4 Merani Tbilisi 21 11 5 5 35:25 38
5 WIT Georgia 21 10 5 6 35:22 35
6 Gonio 21 10 5 6 31:22 35
7 Orbi 21 10 4 7 36:23 34
8 Didube 21 9 6 6 32:26 33
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 21 9 5 7 34:28 32
10 Margveti 2006 21 8 3 10 27:35 27
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 21 6 7 8 25:28 25
12 Khobi 21 6 3 12 27:43 21
13 FC Gardabani 21 4 4 13 18:50 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 21 1 9 11 20:44 12
15 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 21 2 4 15 16:54 10
16 Betlemi Keda 21 2 4 15 11:53 10
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)