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Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Guria
15%
Draws
32%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Guria have won more games recently than Locomotive Tbilisi 2.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
5:2
Mar 7, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0:2
Nov 14, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
4:2
Aug 4, 2023 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
1:1
Oct 12, 2022 Georgian Cup
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Locomotive Tbilisi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Guria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Locomotive Tbilisi 2

(Away)
05 Dec
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
28 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0 : 2
Gori
20 Nov
Orbi
1 : 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
13 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3 : 1
Khobi
06 Nov
WIT Georgia
4 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)