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Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Sajaia M.

AI Match Summary

Locomotive Tbilisi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Locomotive Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Guria
20%
Draws
28%
Locomotive Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Locomotive Tbilisi.
  • Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Guria Clean Sheet 68%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Locomotive Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.76 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi
0:1
Mar 5, 2026 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Guria
1:4
Oct 29, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi
1:0
Aug 27, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Guria
2:1
Mar 6, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Guria vs Locomotive Tbilisi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sajaia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 95 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Locomotive Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guria found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Locomotive Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Locomotive Tbilisi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Locomotive Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)