Sport Picks
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Georgian Cup 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kokosadze L.
12'
12'
Kakubava L.
22'
22'
Chaganava L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-1. The second leg ended 6-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 80%.
- Guria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 18%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guria | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Guria
0:5
Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
6:1
Mar 12, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
7:0
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Guria
2:0
May 2, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guria Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaganava L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kokosadze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Merani Tbilisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guria 76 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guria Merani Tbilisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Guria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Guria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guria VS Merani Tbilisi
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Guria
(Home) 17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5 Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0 Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Gonio
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0 Iberia 1999 2
06 Aug
Guria
0 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2 Dusheti
Page 1 of 4
Merani Tbilisi
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
