Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kokosadze L.
12' Event
Kakubava L.
22' Event
Chaganava L.

AI Match Summary

The Georgian Cup game between Guria and Merani Tbilisi finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Georgian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
6:1
Mar 12, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
7:0
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Guria
2:0
May 2, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Feb 27, 2020 Club Friendly
Merani Tbilisi vs Guria
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaganava L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kokosadze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Merani Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Guria scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Merani Tbilisi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi-
Dinamo Batumi-
Margveti 2006-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
Dusheti-
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-
Spaeri-
Gonio-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gori-
Bolnisi-
WIT Georgia-
Samgurali-
Iberia 1999 2-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
Odishi 1919-
Guria-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-