Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gurupi vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

4 - 0
FT
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Gurupi and Alvorada finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gurupi
35%
Draws
30%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gurupi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alvorada have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 17%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Alvorada
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 14 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2008 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Alvorada
1:2
May 11, 2008 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Gurupi
1:0
Apr 26, 2008 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Alvorada
2:1
Mar 30, 2008 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Gurupi
1:0
Mar 15, 2006 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Alvorada
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 31 / 100
Alvorada 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gurupi scored in 65% of their last 43 outings.

Alvorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gurupi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Alvorada
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 9

Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)